{"id":178279,"date":"2025-01-11T07:03:11","date_gmt":"2025-01-11T10:03:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/penoticias.com.br\/blog\/?p=178279"},"modified":"2025-01-11T07:46:28","modified_gmt":"2025-01-11T10:46:28","slug":"apos-boom-com-bolsonaro-lula-faz-pente-fino-timido-no-bolsa-familia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/penoticias.com.br\/blog\/apos-boom-com-bolsonaro-lula-faz-pente-fino-timido-no-bolsa-familia\/","title":{"rendered":"Ap\u00f3s \u201cboom\u201d com Bolsonaro, Lula faz pente-fino t\u00edmido no Bolsa Fam\u00edlia"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"attachment-destaque_post-16x9  wp-post-image\" src=\"https:\/\/static.poder360.com.br\/2025\/01\/artes-bolsa-familia-pente-fino-10-jan-2025-01-848x477.jpg\" alt=\"Na imagem, Bolsonaro e Lula e ilustra\u00e7\u00e3o de fam\u00edlia benefici\u00e1ria do Bolsa Fam\u00edlia (que se chamava Aux\u00edlio Brasil em parte do governo do ex-presidente)\" width=\"670\" height=\"377\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 8pt;\"><em>Poder360<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>O governo do presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) terminou 2024 com um corte de 1,2% nos benefici\u00e1rios do Bolsa Fam\u00edlia ante o ano anterior. Desde o in\u00edcio do mandato, o recuo de fam\u00edlias atendidas pelo programa social foi de 3,7%.<\/p>\n<p>Integrantes do governo t\u00eam dito desde o in\u00edcio de 2023 que o programa passa por um \u201cpente-fino\u201d para retirar pessoas que recebem o dinheiro indevidamente. Mas os n\u00fameros mostram que isso ainda n\u00e3o foi feito para valer. O Minist\u00e9rio da Fazenda anunciou que conta com mais cortes para melhorar as contas p\u00fablicas nos pr\u00f3ximos anos.<\/p>\n<p>O Bolsa Fam\u00edlia teve um \u201cboom\u201d em 2022. Antes do in\u00edcio do mandato de Jair Bolsonaro (hoje no PL), em dezembro de 2018, havia 14,1 milh\u00f5es de fam\u00edlias recebendo dinheiro do programa. Quando ele deixou a Presid\u00eancia, eram 21,6 milh\u00f5es. A maior alta foi no ano que ele tentou a reelei\u00e7\u00e3o. Foi derrotado\u00a0por Lula.<\/p>\n<p>Al\u00e9m da alta no n\u00famero de fam\u00edlias beneficiadas, o Bolsa Fam\u00edlia teve o seu valor m\u00e9dio mais do que triplicado desde 2020. Em dezembro daquele ano, cada fam\u00edlia recebia, em m\u00e9dia, R$ 191. No fim de 2024, eram R$ 676.<\/p>\n<p>Essa reformula\u00e7\u00e3o recente levou o valor total do programa por ano para cerca de R$ 170 bilh\u00f5es em 2024. As regras foram alteradas ao longo do tempo e a fiscaliza\u00e7\u00e3o tornou-se menos rigorosa.<\/p>\n<p>Se o n\u00famero de fam\u00edlias beneficiadas voltasse a dezembro de 2018, haveria uma economia de R$ 54 bilh\u00f5es por ano. Seria assim mesmo com a manuten\u00e7\u00e3o do benef\u00edcio no patamar atual, muito maior do que em 2018. O valor permitiria zerar o d\u00e9ficit prim\u00e1rio, estimado em R$ 42 bilh\u00f5es para 2024.<\/p>\n<p>O Minist\u00e9rio da Fazenda busca reduzir os gastos com o programa em cerca de R$ 2 bilh\u00f5es por ano at\u00e9 2026. Para isso, precisaria cortar 246 mil fam\u00edlias. E deixar de incluir outras.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>O economista Ecio Costa, professor da Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE), avalia que a meta de corte \u00e9 fact\u00edvel e que \u00e9 poss\u00edvel ir al\u00e9m: \u201c\u00c9 preciso fazer um trabalho muito s\u00e9rio com o cadastro de beneficiados\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Costa disse que a tarefa \u00e9 complexa, mas pode ser poss\u00edvel por meio de parcerias com os Estados. Afirmou que o governo federal poderia tamb\u00e9m aproveitar procedimentos que os governos estaduais t\u00eam feito para fiscalizar os cadastros de seus programas sociais.<\/p>\n<p>O economista cita um programa do governo de Pernambuco que eliminou benef\u00edcios indevidos em 2023 e 2024. O programa venceu\u00a0o 29\u00ba Pr\u00eamio Tesouro de Finan\u00e7as P\u00fablicas em dezembro de 2024.<\/p>\n<p>As chances de uma grande redu\u00e7\u00e3o s\u00e3o pequenas na avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do economista Daniel Duque, pesquisador do Instituto Brasileiro de Economia da Funda\u00e7\u00e3o Get\u00falio Vargas. \u201cO governo n\u00e3o far\u00e1 um corte grande no n\u00famero de benefici\u00e1rios por motivos pol\u00edticos. \u00c9 imposs\u00edvel um presidente fazer isso e ser reeleito\u201d, disse.<\/p>\n<p>Duque afirmou que o ajuste prov\u00e1vel ser\u00e1 manter o valor do benef\u00edcio sem reajuste. Isso faria o custo total cair de forma significativa depois de aproximadamente 5 anos.<\/p>\n<p>O economista declarou que o aumento no valor do benef\u00edcio em 2022 piorou a efic\u00e1cia do programa: \u201cN\u00e3o \u00e9 mais t\u00e3o bom quanto no passado, em que com pouco dinheiro era poss\u00edvel reduzir de forma expressiva a pobreza\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Quando se considera apenas as fam\u00edlias unipessoais (formadas por 1 s\u00f3 integrante), 1,6 milh\u00e3o deixou o programa desde a posse de Lula. O saldo geral (-789 mil assistidos) \u00e9 menor do que isso porque outras fam\u00edlias entraram \u00e0 medida em que benefici\u00e1rios foram sendo exclu\u00eddos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Poder360 O governo do presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) terminou 2024 com um corte de 1,2% nos benefici\u00e1rios do Bolsa Fam\u00edlia ante o ano anterior. Desde o in\u00edcio do mandato, o recuo de fam\u00edlias atendidas pelo programa social foi de 3,7%. 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