{"id":218923,"date":"2026-05-29T00:01:15","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T03:01:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/penoticias.com.br\/blog\/?p=218923"},"modified":"2026-05-28T16:04:26","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T19:04:26","slug":"a-nova-pesquisa-real-time-big-data-sobre-a-disputa-lula-x-flavio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/penoticias.com.br\/blog\/a-nova-pesquisa-real-time-big-data-sobre-a-disputa-lula-x-flavio\/","title":{"rendered":"A nova pesquisa Real Time Big Data sobre a disputa Lula x Fl\u00e1vio"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"moz-reader-block-img\" src=\"https:\/\/veja.abril.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/lula-flavio-bolsonaro-6.jpg?quality=70&amp;strip=info&amp;w=900&amp;h=600&amp;crop=1\" alt=\"Lula, com barba grisalha e terno escuro, com as m\u00e3os unidas em frente ao peito, e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, de terno cinza e gravata azul, falando em um microfone\" width=\"621\" height=\"414\" \/><\/p>\n<p>O Instituto Real Time Big Data volta \u00e0s ruas nesta semana para uma nova rodada de pesquisas sobre as elei\u00e7\u00f5es presidenciais de 2026. O levantamento ser\u00e1 realizado entre essa sexta-feira (29), e o s\u00e1bado (30), com 2.000 entrevistados. A divulga\u00e7\u00e3o deve ocorrer na pr\u00f3xima segunda-feira, dia 1\u00ba de junho. A margem de erro \u00e9 de dois pontos percentuais.<\/p>\n<p>A pesquisa vai testar dois cen\u00e1rios de primeiro turno: o primeiro conta com os candidatos A\u00e9cio Neves (PSDB), Augusto Cury (Avante), Cabo Daciolo (Mobiliza), Edmilson Costa (PCB), Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL), Hertz Dias (PSTU), Joaquim Barbosa (DC), Lula (PT), Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o), Romeu Zema (Novo), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO) e Samara Martins (UP). O segundo cen\u00e1rio inclui o nome de Aldo Rebelo (DC) entre os demais testados.<\/p>\n<p>O levantamento testa, ainda, os nomes de cinco candidatos em cen\u00e1rios de segundo turno contra Lula: Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado e A\u00e9cio Neves.<\/p>\n<p>Por fim, o levantamento faz questionamentos sobre o candidato que pode representar a terceira via, quem o eleitor considera respons\u00e1vel pela substitui\u00e7\u00e3o da escala de trabalho 6\u00d71 pela escala 5\u00d72, al\u00e9m de medir as opini\u00f5es sobre o encontro entre Donald Trump e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Perguntas da nova pesquisa Real Time Big Data:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto espont\u00e2nea para presidente <\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0A pesquisa pergunta em quem o eleitor votaria para presidente do Brasil se a elei\u00e7\u00e3o fosse hoje, sem apresentar uma lista de nomes.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto estimulada no primeiro turno \u2014 cen\u00e1rio 1<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>O levantamento testa uma lista com A\u00e9cio Neves, Augusto Cury, Cabo Daciolo, Edmilson Costa, Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, Hertz Dias, Joaquim Barbosa, Lula, Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, Rui Costa Pimenta e Samara Martins.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto estimulada no primeiro turno \u2014 cen\u00e1rio 2<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0A pesquisa apresenta um segundo cen\u00e1rio estimulado, com a inclus\u00e3o de Aldo Rebelo entre os nomes testados.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Simula\u00e7\u00f5es de segundo turno<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0<strong>O levantamento testa cinco cen\u00e1rios:<\/strong> Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro contra Lula; Lula contra Renan Santos; Lula contra Romeu Zema; Lula contra Ronaldo Caiado; e A\u00e9cio Neves contra Lula.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Segunda op\u00e7\u00e3o de voto<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0A pesquisa pergunta qual seria a segunda op\u00e7\u00e3o do eleitor caso o candidato escolhido n\u00e3o participasse da elei\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Rejei\u00e7\u00e3o dos poss\u00edveis candidatos<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0O question\u00e1rio mede em quais nomes o eleitor n\u00e3o votaria para presidente.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Percep\u00e7\u00e3o sobre a polariza\u00e7\u00e3o nacional<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0A pesquisa pergunta o que o eleitor pensa sobre a polariza\u00e7\u00e3o entre lulismo e bolsonarismo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Nome associado \u00e0 terceira via<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0O levantamento questiona qual candidato o eleitor acredita que representa a terceira via no Brasil.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Escala de trabalho 6\u00d71<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0A pesquisa pergunta quem o eleitor considera respons\u00e1vel pela substitui\u00e7\u00e3o da escala de trabalho 6\u00d71 pela escala 5\u00d72.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Encontro entre Donald Trump e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0O question\u00e1rio avalia a percep\u00e7\u00e3o do eleitor sobre o encontro entre Donald Trump e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Perfil de renda dos entrevistados<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0O levantamento tamb\u00e9m coleta informa\u00e7\u00f5es sobre a renda domiciliar mensal dos entrevistados.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O Instituto Real Time Big Data volta \u00e0s ruas nesta semana para uma nova rodada de pesquisas sobre as elei\u00e7\u00f5es presidenciais de 2026. O levantamento ser\u00e1 realizado entre essa sexta-feira (29), e o s\u00e1bado (30), com 2.000 entrevistados. A divulga\u00e7\u00e3o deve ocorrer na pr\u00f3xima segunda-feira, dia 1\u00ba de junho. 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